El Nino explains light
2006 hurricane seasonHurricane
activity during the 2006 Atlantic hurricane was weaker than expected
because of the rapid development of El Niño, according to scientists
at the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The 2006 Atlantic hurricane season
produced near-normal activity with a total of nine named storms -
including five hurricanes, two of which became major hurricanes of
Category 3 strength or higher.
An average Atlantic hurricane season
has 11 named storms, with six becoming hurricanes and two becoming
major hurricanes.
Unlike the past three seasons, the
stronger hurricanes stayed well out at sea in 2006, sparing the
Americas and the Caribbean islands from major hurricane damage this
season.
"The development of El Niño
conditions by September helps explain why this Atlantic hurricane
season was less active than predicted," said Gerry Bell, NOAA's lead
forecaster on the Atlantic hurricane seasonal outlook team, in a press
release. "El Niño developed quickly and the atmosphere responded
rapidly, reducing hurricane activity during an otherwise active era
that began in 1995."
El Niño refers to a periodic warming
of the ocean waters in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific,
which influences pressure and wind patterns across the tropical
Atlantic.
"El Niño, combined with the
large-scale weather patterns over the southeastern U.S., produced
sinking air in the middle and upper atmosphere, along with higher than
anticipated wind shear (the change in winds through the atmosphere)
over the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea," the NOAA
said in a recent statement. "These conditions minimized thunderstorm
activity, which inhibited tropical storm and hurricane formation."
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